Tell us what we’re supposed to be excited about?

If you’re a white-collar worker, it’s either a bludgeon your boss is using to threaten to sack you, or an excuse as to why you should generate 5x more output without any more pay.

If you’re a media consumer, it’s a fountain of endless low-quality crap. Resources you used to be able to trust are being undermined.

These might be exciting if you’re a sociopathic billionaire or wannabe-billionaire, but for the rest of use, the closest to a positive payout we have is a bunch of gacha machines that can produce mediocre graphics/music/text shaped things which might dovetail with what you’re doing, until their economic unviability causes them to go out. (I think consumer video gen is already disappearing)

Not sure I’m quite willing to undermine civilization rather than fibd stock photos for my blog posts.

The optical turning point is here for a lot of things.

The non-US world is seriously considering Chinese cars, which was always a high burden to clear (see Japan and Korea getting their manufacturing together enough to field a competitive product)

I suspect we’ll see some flailed attempt to block Chinese RAM from the US market (cf. The router fiasco) but this one might have enough corporate inertia to sail through. When every business in the country can’t afford even basic 16GB office desktops, Intel, Dell, HP, and Apple are probably going to be making compelling arguments to their captive legislators. This might be the only way to avoid huge losses on their non-datacentre product lines.

They said “country”, not “performative farce.”

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I use it as a desktop. I like that it’s free of the nasty surprises of modern Linux (flatpak/snaps, systemd, X11 is still pretty first-class) while not feeling quite as isolated as Slackware and its sort of pre-broadband approach to packaging.

My biggest issue was poor support for an old Epson scanner that rewuired a binary package that wouldn’t install cleanly as it was designed for Debian; solved by buying a $10 used Canon scsnner which worked out of the box.

I like it better than Devuan for a non-systemd distribuition because, as its own thing, you don’t end up with as many “do I need to follow the Standard Debian guides or do something special” questions.

There’s probably some interesting digestive side effects to a body used to a liquid diet.

Can imagine a plotline where the vampire is always disappearing after human-style “masking” meals to sit around with stomach cramps and the runs.

Use a shared external source of randomness, like one of the shortwave “numbers stations”, to seed an agreed upon algorithm that simulates shuffling a deck and dispensing the cards. You’re running the same code on the same data, so you could show the cards you had seen after each hand to confirm everyone is in sync.

I was always more of a fan of the Pennsylvania Railtoad than the competing New Youk Central.

It knows and demands blood.

One huge issue is that LLMs do weird and stupid things differently than how humans do them.

If you’ve developed an eye for reading human-made changes, you’re not necessarily going to recognize new and surprising failure modes as easily. It’s literally harder than regular code review.

Humans with modern tooling, for example, rarely hallucinate field/class/method/object names because non-spicy autocomplete keeps them on the rails. LLMs seem much more willing to decide the menu bar is .menuBar and not .topMenu, probably because their training corpus is full of the former.

Many things still fall back to VGA, like old projectors.

Trying to sell consumers on “scaling solves everything” is going to be a hard sell.

If we look at general purpose computation, which had decades of actual scaling-solves-everything growth, you had two influences that made the message resonate with customers:

• Clear existing applications where more power made the experience straightforward better. Your spreadsheet took an hour to recalculate at 8MHz and 20 minutes at 25MHz. A lot of the “bigger model” stuff is plateauing with marginal or spotty gains. If I feed another 5 Internets of data to ChatGPT, will that summarized email be that much better?

• New applications that could be demoed on specialised low capacity hardware and scaled down to consumers as more power became available. Think of early CGI on hardware costing tens of millions, and now you can run Blender on a $149 laptop. Since most commercial AI plays are hosted services, there’s not much opportunity to tease that way anymore.

I figured SDF were the sort of people who would consider uptime a badge of honour.

I should probably be on Hexbear but I didn’t know of its existence at the time. Very problematic, my Xibuck direct deposits keep bouncing.

The difference was that Amazon knew how to make a profit, but was reinvesting into infrastructure plays and bigger fish.

If they had to, they could have been a modestly profitable bookshop in 2002. AWS and monster logistics might not have developed to put them in the 13-digit club though.

Does any AI-centric play have that fundamental fallback? The services that seem to be most effective at direct monetization, the coding tools, are typically running at huge losses. If they raised costs to cover, precious few firms will pay basically the salary of a senior dev for an emulation of an enthusiastic junior dev with an affinity for footguns.

The less enterprise-focused products-- parasocial toys, image and video gen, will likely try to dip into consumer subs and advertising, but can that generate the cash volumes these platforms demand?

All the best firms continvoucly morg these days.

Why are “round videos” a feature?

The “default” mode for a USB keyboard allows submitting 6 keys + modifiers. Some boards define nontraditional input descriptors that allow more, but that mode is not guaranteed to work in places like the BIOS menu or naive KVM switches.

To avoid phantom keypresses when you hit three keys in a “square” on the matrix, a diode can be placed in series with each switch so current can’t go through an “indirect” route.

There’s also an execution problem.

Truly knowing your customer might produce very different outcomes than the current compliance checkbox approach.

“I know Fred just sold his old car. The idea he suddenly has $12k in cash is not suspicious” or “Jane’s been talking about going to Montreal for momths. We should not block her card when it lights up there.”. That’s real KYC, but it requires human connection and human judgement, which doesn’t scale and doesn’t provide the right paperwork for demonstrating compliance with arbitrary mandates.

I think she did a poor job of saying what she brought to the table. I understand not wanting to throwJoe under the bus, but opening some daylight on policy would have given her a chance to deflect the affordability problems the last months of Biden had, for example.

I’m pretty sure it’s actually those shoulder pads.

During thr gold-standard era, 1GBP was around 5USD, but a halfpenny was 1/480 of a pound, so a little more than a cent. The large-format cents issued up to 1857 were similar in size to the halfpennies of the late 1700s.