Ben Matthews

  • New here on lemmy, will add more info later …
  • Also on mdon: @benjhm@scicomm.xyz
  • Try my interactive climate / futures model: SWIM
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  • 103 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: September 15th, 2023

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  • This headline and several others relating to same ‘news’ are mixing up information about 2024 (which is what the GCB data tables show) and 2025 emissions which are expert-projections. Of course it’s useful to project for 2025, to inform the COP in Belem, but big collaborative data assimilation and analysis of sinks takes time, so the accurate data is about 2024 (you can download the most recent GCB data tables ).
    Checking their ‘Key Messages’ for 2025, the headline figure of 38.1 Gt fossil CO2, seems to be a decrease compared to the last figure in the tables for 2024 ( converting units x 12/44 ) . This is hard to reconcile with projected national increases ( but those seem to me - just quick reflection - pessimistic compared with previous carbon-brief analyses ?).
    In general it seems to me science-communicators do not help general understanding promoting reports by muddling up the years - global trends are changing, and blips related to weather and geopolitics vary from year to year. We’ll have more blips still to come this year.





  • I don’t agree with this, the answer is not collapse. To me complexity is beautiful, creating and maintaining complexity is the essence of what it is to be alive. Although I’m no fan of hierarchy or big capital, there are better systems for organising, balancing feedbacks, and we need to keep thinking about ways to do this (which is why we’re here on lemmy).
    While medieval societies based more on tribal loyalty were more unequal and hierarchical than modern ones, as well as sustaining far fewer people until the next famine or pandemic.