“Argentina registered a year-on-year inflation rate of 254.2 percent in January, the highest in 32 years, according to data released Wednesday by the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC)”
Poorness rise to almost 58% while the president is refusing to hike the minimum wage, which is common to rise every 3 months or so even during the right wing liberal regime of Macri, but this guy FUCK NO he just signed a billion dollar subsidy to “Mercado Libre” the eCash monopoly owned by the richest Argentinean Galperin ~5 Billion of declared wealth
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It is certainly very early, but how long will we have to wait to evaluate their success or failure? Or will it be the typical “just one more term”?
Brexit was the perfect example of how this works: one direct policy change, clear predictions from experts what will happen, clear statements from EU, clear success/failure criteria (better trade deals, stronger economy). 7 years later if couldn’t be clearer how complete failure it was but the party that did it is still going strong. Their excuse? The idea was right but the execution was flawed. Also it’s still better then what the other party would have done.
It will be the same in Argentina. Whatever will happen they will simply claim they did the right thing, it’s their opponents sabotaging their work that responsible for the failure, it would be even worse had they not done it, they are the only ones that can fix it. People expecting that everyone will just agree that what they did was stupid are delusional. It never happens.
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So how exactly do you think the current administration will fix those mistakes?
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I’m sorry, my Dude
Actual answer does not automatically mean right answer.
It’s a Text-Book answer, I don’t know what’s not right here.
The question is “what will the current administration do”, not “what is the textbook way”…
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Well, that’s an answer…
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Which policies are you referring to?
Rinse and repeat every few years.
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Please point out where I stated that.
you clearly blamed the inflation on leftist economic policies, then you listed a set of steps that have nothing to do with leftist politics.
So I didn’t state that. Thanks for clarifying.
What a silly waste of time.
oh my mistake: you didn’t say it was leftist policies. you came into a conversation where that was the topic, and listed a bunch of things that have nothing to do with leftist policy, and then refused to answer a question about their relevance.
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I’m not an economics guy, when you say “core issues haven’t been fixed” what is meant by this?
They keep doing the same thing again and again without fixing anything.
Imagine you earn $5k a month, but you spend $10k a month. You will eventually run out of credit and will go into default then bankruptcy.
This is what Argentina is doing.
It’s also what America is doing, but so far she is getting away with it, mostly because she can just keep printing as many dollars as she wants as it’s the reserve currency and therefore easy to inflate away the debt.
And remember, every bit of inflation is spending power out of your pocket. Remember what $100 bought you ten years ago?
Keynesian economists think this is fine and you can just going like this forever (running a country isn’t the same as running a household, duh!). Those people are idiots and apparently don’t understand basic math, but unfortunately they are running the show right now.
Eventually the good times will stop. The results will be catastrophic when this happens. People will die and more wars will break out. Even first world countries will not be immune.
Only question is when. For both Argentina and America and everyone else.
Thanks for explaining that to me. I’ve heard the US can print money because they own the debt, or something to that effect.
So do you agree with the idea that Milei’s austerity measures will work in the long run? If you do, is there historical precedent to guide that belief?
Probably not. The politics won’t allow for it: everyone’s thinking is short term and nobody cares about 10 years down the line. He will be blocked and sabotaged and removed before this gets to play out. Then the money printer will go brrrrrrrrrrrr
If it’s allowed to stick, then yes, it should work in the long term, with some short to medium term pain. It’s not impossible but it seems unlikely to work out that way. Maybe enough Argentinans with a long memory and basic math skills will allow it to happen. But don’t count on it.
Similar to how an addict has to get off the drugs: hurts in the short term something fierce, then it gets better over time. Except here the drug is free money. Of course, many don’t make it.
Every fiat currency has eventually failed. Going right back the Romans and probably before that. When the greedy idiots in charge learn they can print money seemingly without consequence, then they will print.
I still struggle to understand how you believe it “should work in the long term.” I would like, but i understand if you dont have, some kind of example where these measures have worked before.
When you say basic math it makes me feel like I’m missing something.
First comment explained it very simple
You can earn 5k and spend 10k if you get a pay rise of 5k next month
In practice they spend a few percent more than they take in taxes and grow by a little more or less than that. COVID was a big jump in real debt but other than that it’s generally stable ish
It’s not obviously unsustainable