Biden’s not going to win in the next few weeks, on account of the next few weeks not including the election, so the first bit is right out.
Whether the party (and, perhaps more importantly, low-information voters) unite behind a new candidate won’t be certain until the results of election day. If you think that the information environment is going to be coherent and clear in the aftermath of a contested convention, I don’t know what to tell you other than that you’re setting yourself up for disappointment. You aren’t going to get the ‘clean’ result that you want, regardless of whether an open convention is our best possible choice.
If you think that the information environment is going to be coherent and clear in the aftermath of a contested convention, I don’t know what to tell you other than that you’re setting yourself up for disappointment.
Its simply that I think I have a far, far better read of politics than you do. I called this moment, literally months ago, here.
And on the previous point, I meant that we’ll know concretely if the party is going to force Biden out over the course of the next very few weeks. It wont (and can’t) take more than a few weeks. Biden’s going to be in the race 100% until the second he isn’t.
Biden’s not going to win in the next few weeks, on account of the next few weeks not including the election, so the first bit is right out.
Whether the party (and, perhaps more importantly, low-information voters) unite behind a new candidate won’t be certain until the results of election day. If you think that the information environment is going to be coherent and clear in the aftermath of a contested convention, I don’t know what to tell you other than that you’re setting yourself up for disappointment. You aren’t going to get the ‘clean’ result that you want, regardless of whether an open convention is our best possible choice.
Its simply that I think I have a far, far better read of politics than you do. I called this moment, literally months ago, here.
And on the previous point, I meant that we’ll know concretely if the party is going to force Biden out over the course of the next very few weeks. It wont (and can’t) take more than a few weeks. Biden’s going to be in the race 100% until the second he isn’t.