Musk poured a ton of money, time, and energy into this race
In particular, the race was seen as a test of Musk’s political sway, as his super PAC, America PAC, alone spent more than $12 million to support Schimel. He also traveled to Wisconsin the Sunday before the election, where he handed out $1 million checks to voters who had signed his petition against “activist judges.”
*In deep red districts. Like R+33 red
Dems overperformed by like 20 points. They probably would have outperformed more if Republicans didn’t notice the close polling and start pouring millions into the race
Yes, don’t be complacent, but don’t look at it strictly in a binary way
Another thing is, I believe, that it wasn’t dems showing up to vote, the shift in margin was Republicans voting for democrats. If that’s really the case that’s huge, cause it doesn’t mean Republicans are disengaged, they’re starting to work against the current admin.
Both appear to be happening in the specials lately
Higher comparative dem turnout and some degree of persuasion is likely
Can’t directly tell because individual votes are anonymous, but you can tell what party a voter is registered with in some states.
Generally seeing higher turnout among registered dems and margins large enough to suggest that many independent and likely some Republicans are shifting their votes
Yep I understand and totally agree. The details matter.
But ya know, it’s just dissapointing. Having dems actually win in those districts would have been huge. But it’s not surprising.